Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde434e662279f07cbb078a72b5c3e9cfdf546dc6336df0ae8a7234b9aca646d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions | 75c | 4,851$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.17 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Galions | 68c | 2,777$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.03 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked WLGaming Esports | 24c | 1,775$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed WLGaming Esports | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked WLGaming Esports | 23c | 1,027$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Galions | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 664.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked WLGaming Esports | 26c | 623.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked WLGaming Esports | 30c | 572.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed WLGaming Esports | 32c | 564.42$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 73c | 544.83$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed WLGaming Esports | 32c | 505$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked WLGaming Esports | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked WLGaming Esports | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked WLGaming Esports | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Galions | 77c | 452.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed Galions | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked WLGaming Esports | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 75c | 342.16$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Galions | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 279.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…e44dbacked WLGaming Esports | 31c | 261.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed WLGaming Esports | 31c | 257$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Galions | 69c | 257$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 237.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 200.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Galions | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked WLGaming Esports | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Galions | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed WLGaming Esports | 26c | 189.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 170.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 161.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 161$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed WLGaming Esports | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Galions | 74c | 135.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Galions | 77c | 127.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 102.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Galions | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Galions | 79c | 49.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Galions | 74c | 29.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Galions | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Galions | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.