Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf616e81c2f1e2996257f63816b143bf4c531932bb2b61c60c37e54e97ee9d72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed WLGaming Esports | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed WLGaming Esports | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed WLGaming Esports | 10c | 1,766$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 1,032$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed WLGaming Esports | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed WLGaming Esports | 17c | 515.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked WLGaming Esports | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 431.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked WLGaming Esports | 7c | 373$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WLGaming Esports | 6c | 314.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked WLGaming Esports | 14c | 280.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 226.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked WLGaming Esports | 12c | 215.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed WLGaming Esports | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked WLGaming Esports | 15c | 177.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WLGaming Esports | 14c | 148.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…f54abacked Galions | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 79cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.