Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Frantzen/Haase vs Granollers/Zeballos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdedf527e7b83069be9ddead01f175f02cfc9abbc2ae18943cdea2f8855824da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frantzen/Haaseof Frantzen/Haase, Granollers/Zeballos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 64c | 1,702$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.53 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Frantzen/Haase | 34c | 802.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.17 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed Frantzen/Haase | 33c | 577.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Frantzen/Haase | 43c | 444.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.42 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Frantzen/Haase | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…cad2backed Granollers/Zeballos | 71c | 273.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -13.7wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Frantzen/Haase | 33c | 240$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Granollers/Zeballos | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 345 | 53.3%184 W · 161 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Frantzen/Haase | 29c | 177.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Granollers/Zeballos | 71c | 174.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Frantzen/Haase | 59c | 172.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Frantzen/Haase | 26c | 135.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Granollers/Zeballos | 44c | 105.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Granollers/Zeballos | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Granollers/Zeballos | 73c | 91.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…48e6backed Granollers/Zeballos | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a6f7backed Granollers/Zeballos | 43c | 49.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Granollers/Zeballos | 45c | 40.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Frantzen/Haase | 38c | 40.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 236 | 28.8%68 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Granollers/Zeballos | 73c | 30.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…7099backed Granollers/Zeballos | 45c | 25.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…8475backed Granollers/Zeballos | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Frantzen/Haase | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.