TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Robert Morris Colonials vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Robert Morris Colonials, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies75c3,494$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies60c2,511$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.154,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Robert Morris Colonials42c1,748$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.531,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials26c1,493$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Robert Morris Colonials29c842.93$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials41c825.62$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials17c799.56$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.132,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Robert Morris Colonials37c657.31$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Robert Morris Colonials20c654.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.671,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies64c593.88$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.491,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875e…157bbacked Robert Morris Colonials16c531.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.14933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Robert Morris Colonials14c523.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5749043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Robert Morris Colonials29c318.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies77c104$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies80c100.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Robert Morris Colonials33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies59c60.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8521535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Robert Morris Colonials37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Robert Morris Colonials22c51.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4121342.3%90 W · 123 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Robert Morris Colonials44c43.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Robert Morris Colonials36c43.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Robert Morris Colonials36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Robert Morris Colonials40c30.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0111536.5%42 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Robert Morris Colonials42c28.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.915037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Robert Morris Colonials37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3714339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.