Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf43123b0b9d512b16b4a79fd8d9b860d58ebb4450bf9001fb6242a4b92c61d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Paul, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Paul | 48c | 587.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Paul | 34c | 524.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zandschulp | 46c | 513.91$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Paul | 54c | 513.91$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…7827backed Zandschulp | 52c | 288.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zandschulp | 46c | 258.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Paul | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Paul | 54c | 224.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Zandschulp | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Paul | 53c | 189.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zandschulp | 46c | 171.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Paul | 54c | 142.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zandschulp | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Zandschulp | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Zandschulp | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Paul | 41c | 97.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Zandschulp | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Zandschulp | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Paul | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zandschulp | 53c | 66.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Zandschulp | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Zandschulp | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Zandschulp | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Paul | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Paul | 47c | 34.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…17aebacked Paul | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Paul | 49c | 29.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Zandschulp | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Paul | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Paul | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Paul | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…be17backed Paul | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)this page
- HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de ZandschulpTommy Paul won
- Paul vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Paul vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Paul vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Paul vs ZandschulpPaul won
- Set Handicap: Zandschulp (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
- Tommy Paul vs. Botic van de Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.