Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf8f81c421d9d86ed410b18169407e8c7a9b3877ad754a3035807248f61c25c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 4c | 10,271$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.72 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 505.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 51c | 498.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 56c | 292.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 269.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 250.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 248.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 206.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 202.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 52c | 189.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 132.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 110.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 14c | 80.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 74.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 43.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0c3dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 50c | 25.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 25.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…b114backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…17b0backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…7628backed Over | 49c | 24.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…d045backed Over | 47c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…a9d6backed Under | 52c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…82d2backed Under | 53c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…8c8ebacked Over | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2492…b1e2backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 22.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…2aa3backed Over | 47c | 21.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 20.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…1f3ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…3f6ebacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6b…db02backed Under | 53c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5this page
- Haiti vs. Iceland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Iceland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Iceland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.