CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb727d361c9b324a1e2611d83601328f870da3be91e91eead51c7aa462f7aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Johnny Speeds, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 28c | 3,118$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.73 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 999.09$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 586.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 579.25$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 369.01$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 273.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 210$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 185.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 152.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 145.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 138.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 73.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 64.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 59.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 41.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 25.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 24.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…6b73backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 21.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.