Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff11554e0b4bf38e5776c20585f64adce5acf9b91aeea71f23775d532349ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 5,444$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.34 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,035$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.1 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 471.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 445.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 314.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 63c | 156$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 48c | 139.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 69c | 139.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 109.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 47c | 99.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 78c | 64.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 48.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 47.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 38.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 36.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 78c | 32.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.