Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe050c7e4db49ba39f1183e1f6521fd229a7d7ba688cb15369478aea950180041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Minaur, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp | 35c | 4,609$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…1267backed Minaur | 71c | 2,887$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Minaur | 62c | 1,724$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.08 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Zandschulp | 36c | 872$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.08 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Zandschulp | 40c | 649.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…9997backed Minaur | 68c | 524.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minaur | 60c | 470.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Minaur | 66c | 450$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Zandschulp | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Zandschulp | 34c | 314.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zandschulp | 33c | 314.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Zandschulp | 47c | 169.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Minaur | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Zandschulp | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…5ecbbacked Minaur | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zandschulp | 60c | 134.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Zandschulp | 34c | 89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Minaur | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Minaur | 66c | 75.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Minaur | 67c | 74.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…a35cbacked Minaur | 68c | 59.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Minaur | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zandschulp | 32c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Minaur | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Minaur | 55c | 44.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Minaur | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…505ebacked Minaur | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Minaur | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Minaur | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Minaur | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)this page
- Minaur vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Minaur vs. Zandschulp: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Zandschulp: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de ZandschulpMinaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.