CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07659eb8aeef7ae0a640946d0bb94c86464515a15207802d3ef88b4dc3bcb6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 2,170$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 80c | 1,061$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids | 73c | 701.41$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 676.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed RED Canids | 71c | 287.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 72c | 199.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed RED Canids | 71c | 184.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked RED Canids | 71c | 126.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked RED Canids | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RED Canids | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…713dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 90.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 29c | 85.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed RED Canids | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked RED Canids | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed RED Canids | 80c | 21.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed RED Canids | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked RED Canids | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed RED Canids | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed RED Canids | 71c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.