Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Cristina Bucsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b14050ce2145a99a91826e4db60458863ab194166e95eb6724f34c2b0e3817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Bucsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Svitolina | 80c | 11,110$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.55 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucsa | 20c | 10,160$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Bucsa | 18c | 3,217$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Svitolina | 72c | 3,000$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.67 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Svitolina | 74c | 1,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.12 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucsa | 28c | 1,320$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bucsa | 17c | 1,223$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucsa | 23c | 1,196$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bucsa | 27c | 1,167$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.78 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Bucsa | 18c | 1,108$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucsa | 24c | 841.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bucsa | 17c | 839.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucsa | 26c | 724.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucsa | 23c | 680.59$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bucsa | 18c | 530.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bucsa | 18c | 426.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bucsa | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Bucsa | 18c | 244.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucsa | 13c | 213$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucsa | 15c | 208.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Bucsa | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bucsa | 18c | 139$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Bucsa | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Svitolina | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucsa | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Bucsa | 22c | 62.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucsa | 19c | 61.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Svitolina | 73c | 54.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Bucsa | 20c | 49.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Svitolina | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Cristina Bucsathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs BucsaSvitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Bucsa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.