Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs CatChamp (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e74d96ef2a49c3e41d832581d24bf68fdd0f2b1b152b1874e21ab091f140b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rottweilas Latamof Rottweilas Latam, CatChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Rottweilas Latam | 35c | 2,616$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Rottweilas Latam | 39c | 2,488$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.05 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CatChamp | 61c | 2,398$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.51 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked CatChamp | 65c | 1,531$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.58 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked CatChamp | 11c | 1,441$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Rottweilas Latam | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ef…3435backed CatChamp | 51c | 600.36$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed CatChamp | 22c | 582.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rottweilas Latam | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked CatChamp | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Rottweilas Latam | 51c | 352$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed CatChamp | 65c | 336.92$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Rottweilas Latam | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked CatChamp | 7c | 158.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed CatChamp | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CatChamp | 10c | 151.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Rottweilas Latam | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…ece8backed CatChamp | 27c | 96.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rottweilas Latam | 51c | 86.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed CatChamp | 61c | 77.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed CatChamp | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rottweilas Latam | 45c | 72.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rottweilas Latam | 42c | 68.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed CatChamp | 22c | 67.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Rottweilas Latam | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed CatChamp | 63c | 57.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked CatChamp | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed CatChamp | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Rottweilas Latam | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed CatChamp | 56c | 46.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Rottweilas Latam | 45c | 44.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked CatChamp | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked CatChamp | 49c | 31.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CatChamp | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Rottweilas Latam | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs CatChamp (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs CatChamp - Game 2 WinnerRottweilas Latam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.