CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11e49ea98a4a35c3772af9df0278cc4faa55a831b82a5cfaea18971941b9bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Drip Too Hard, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 1,173$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.68 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Drip Too Hard | 42c | 1,148$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.65 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Drip Too Hard | 20c | 1,089$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Drip Too Hard | 68c | 900$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.9 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drip Too Hard | 34c | 593.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 431.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Drip Too Hard | 3c | 403.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed HyperSpirit | 56c | 358.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Drip Too Hard | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Drip Too Hard | 32c | 267.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Drip Too Hard | 32c | 190$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Drip Too Hard | 32c | 149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Drip Too Hard | 44c | 137.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Drip Too Hard | 47c | 68.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed Drip Too Hard | 34c | 58.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Drip Too Hard | 60c | 56.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked HyperSpirit | 59c | 42.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drip Too Hard | 29c | 40.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed HyperSpirit | 48c | 24.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…7a7bbacked HyperSpirit | 69c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f6acbacked HyperSpirit | 57c | 22.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Drip Too Hard | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked HyperSpirit | 64c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.