CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89d07a328467629ed0eaccd8cc4677e0f536e2ad18c025110c890f0f99e0cceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Drip Too Hard, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 1,214$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Drip Too Hard | 50c | 869.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Drip Too Hard | 52c | 328.85$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HyperSpirit | 48c | 328.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HyperSpirit | 72c | 295.89$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Drip Too Hard | 40c | 289$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Drip Too Hard | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Drip Too Hard | 21c | 215.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Drip Too Hard | 29c | 206.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 185.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Drip Too Hard | 41c | 125.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Drip Too Hard | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Drip Too Hard | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 116.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Drip Too Hard | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 98.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Drip Too Hard | 23c | 64.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Drip Too Hard | 53c | 56.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 43.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Drip Too Hard | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Drip Too Hard | 64c | 32.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 31.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…9cfcbacked HyperSpirit | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 29.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Drip Too Hard | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HyperSpirit | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drip Too Hard | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.