Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe12701934e86c4f2cf362647d6d532580fc941fc33e92d4ed1d5d45720c55a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee14…8055backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 1,042$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 1,025$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 864.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 599.92$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Pipsqueak+4 | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 72c | 495.63$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 489.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…4588backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 470$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Pipsqueak+4 | 3c | 425$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 288.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 179.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 14c | 116.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 102.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Pipsqueak+4 | 16c | 70.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 52.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.