Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c5c2aba60eaab0239adce1d846cdd5c1ac119031b0b88350a3863fb1940867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 9,496$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.57 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 3,956$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.91 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 2,098$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 1,150$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 569 | 48.7%277 W · 292 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 684.65$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 665.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 375$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 318.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 293.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 262.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…8c74backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…bf0cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 92.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 53.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…8aa8backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 39.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 36.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)BetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.