Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Alina Shcherbinina vs Jo-Yee Chan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe157c305672c2d1af6c72b289889c1f2ea8896f8434ac28d3b86ba9d5b5e9895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Shcherbininaof Alina Shcherbinina, Jo-Yee Chan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 58c | 16,706$9,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.61 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jo-Yee Chan | 42c | 14,235$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 40c | 1,383$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 43c | 889.81$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jo-Yee Chan | 19c | 889.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 38c | 833.49$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Jo-Yee Chan | 66c | 771.6$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Alina Shcherbinina | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jo-Yee Chan | 42c | 477.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 49c | 452.63$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.01 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jo-Yee Chan | 51c | 325$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Jo-Yee Chan | 23c | 321.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Alina Shcherbinina | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alina Shcherbinina | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 46c | 227.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Alina Shcherbinina | 71c | 222.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 51c | 217.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Alina Shcherbinina | 55c | 180.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jo-Yee Chan | 48c | 178.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 47c | 165.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 29c | 163.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 70c | 141.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alina Shcherbinina | 80c | 135.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Jo-Yee Chan | 20c | 122$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jo-Yee Chan | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Alina Shcherbinina | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alina Shcherbinina | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alina Shcherbinina | 46c | 93.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alina Shcherbinina | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alina Shcherbinina | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 20c | 71.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Alina Shcherbinina | 64c | 70.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 38c | 66.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jo-Yee Chan | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 46c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jo-Yee Chan | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Alina Shcherbinina | 41c | 37.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jo-Yee Chan | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Jo-Yee Chan | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Alina Shcherbinina | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Jo-Yee Chan | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Alina Shcherbinina | 55c | 22.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Alina Shcherbinina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Alina Shcherbinina | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.