Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. McNeese State Cowboys (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe16596bdb3cfbfe8bcf6a2de2dc0b682f427972c32ee30fe8a31dd9282a0ac1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, McNeese State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 55c | 2,530$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 1,497$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.96 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 1,080$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 877.78$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.09 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 500$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.56 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 147.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 120.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 115.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed McNeese State Cowboys | 58c | 110.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed McNeese State Cowboys | 65c | 109.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed McNeese State Cowboys | 46c | 88.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 76.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 45c | 49.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 35c | 39.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…fc49backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed McNeese State Cowboys | 62c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 40c | 27.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.