Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1663d2b1860491b67c3adbc29dce3d5a50e2ceaf07ede707ec045ce5784ca73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Forsaken | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Forsaken | 58c | 7,764$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.29 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Heretics Academy | 41c | 3,622$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.45 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 3,460$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Heretics Academy | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.98 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 2,860$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf160…c3e7backed Forsaken | 61c | 2,768$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 2,263$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.37 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Team Heretics Academy | 47c | 2,180$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Forsaken | 61c | 1,995$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.74 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Forsaken | 49c | 1,300$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 1,294$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.66 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 1,286$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Forsaken | 58c | 1,159$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.1 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed Forsaken | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Team Heretics Academy | 44c | 887$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 750$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 691$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.87 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 679.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.49 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 564.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 506.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Forsaken | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Forsaken | 60c | 444.85$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Forsaken | 52c | 376.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 344$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 331.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Forsaken | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Heretics Academy | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Heretics Academy | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Forsaken | 61c | 242$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Forsaken | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics Academy | 46c | 148.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 143.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 44c | 137.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Team Heretics Academy | 51c | 136.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Team Heretics Academy | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Forsaken | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 104.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Forsaken | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Team Heretics Academy | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Forsaken | 42c | 81.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Team Heretics Academy | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Forsaken | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Heretics Academy | 43c | 46.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Forsaken | 58c | 42.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Forsaken | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Forsaken | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Team Heretics Academy | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Forsaken | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Forsaken | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Forsaken | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Forsaken | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…6b77backed Team Heretics Academy | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Forsaken | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.