TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under56c2,261$1,266 inWon+$99510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c1,020$623 inWon+$397.772,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Over39c1,019$397 inLost-$397.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over30c1,019$306 inLost-$305.841,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under55c668.89$368 inWon+$3011,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under57c561.45$320 inWon+$240.9928341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over44c454.55$200 inLost-$2007140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf479…2d49backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost-$2002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Over43c392.44$170 inLost-$1702842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under56c287.38$161 inWon+$126.31,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Over44c272.73$120 inLost-$12012644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked Over44c272.73$120 inLost-$1202536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20c3…c917backed Over44c272.73$120 inLost-$1201050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c23…2f97backed Over44c272.73$120 inLost-$1205234.6%18 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…3053backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost-$1006738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa0…ead1backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x640e…e904backed Over44c181.82$80 inLost-$802711.1%3 W · 24 L-7.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over42c100$42 inLost-$4210847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under58c100$58 inWon+$4262649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c49.65$28 inWon+$21.632,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over45c40$18 inLost-$1897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under57c38$22 inWon+$16.3424643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over43c38$16 inLost-$16.3427356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under58c25$14 inWon+$10.51,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.