Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c9bda6d29110881836e4ea7fc4edc10d15a92b91a6419b039afaac43511948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 15,728$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Under | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Over | 16c | 800.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 16c | 630.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 499$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 78c | 236.95$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 64c | 188.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 166.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 16c | 134.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 98.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 18c | 98.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 96.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…c5afbacked Over | 56c | 61.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 46c | 50.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 70c | 31.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 53c | 28.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 50c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 64c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.