Premier League · resolved market
Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe37adee23f6a2ed8dea53db4c2e5d6a344cf1f8762ccfe1ecd45861a0d5ef049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 53c | 7,000$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 47c | 3,259$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,156$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,148$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 47c | 729.55$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 47c | 659.57$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e4…af09backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 23c | 392.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 389.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Under | 47c | 243.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 48c | 239.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 191.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 56c | 120.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 119.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 55c | 118.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 114.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 110.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 85.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 53c | 75.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Over | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…06f8backed Over | 56c | 53.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…1f18backed Over | 57c | 47.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…c79bbacked Under | 45c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…2220backed Under | 45c | 40.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…78bdbacked Under | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…6b3fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…d11dbacked Under | 45c | 35.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de9…c5afbacked Over | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…1f17backed Over | 57c | 28.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce92…7bb8backed Over | 56c | 25.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 20.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.