Fifa International · resolved market
England leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe210f1dc0ffa4c8bce6ff300133dc7b0a34ab6bb3cfaf8d77c4dee13c131838d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 1,510$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 959.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 441.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 32c | 379.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 51c | 292.24$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 271.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 67c | 222.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 67c | 218.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 70c | 214.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 191$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 190.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 32c | 188.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 51c | 153.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 49c | 133.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…3610backed Yes | 69c | 128.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 24c | 110.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 31c | 105.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Yes | 25c | 91.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 87.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 67c | 71.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed Yes | 70c | 69.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked No | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 69c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…6ab0backed Yes | 67c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…7914backed Yes | 51c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…08efbacked Yes | 62c | 23.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England leading at halftime?this page
- New Zealand leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.