Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Fucsovics vs. Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22981b1c58e0d557baf3ab06598559f0eae860f3742d9fd555130891baf3c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fucsovics, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Fritz | 73c | 29,685$21,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Fucsovics | 27c | 22,940$6,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fucsovics | 7c | 10,283$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.19 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fucsovics | 17c | 10,029$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.42 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Fucsovics | 26c | 7,595$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.51 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Fritz | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…e6fcbacked Fritz | 77c | 2,936$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fucsovics | 29c | 2,859$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.22 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Fritz | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Fucsovics | 21c | 2,762$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.04 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fucsovics | 29c | 2,620$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.85 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fritz | 72c | 2,098$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.35 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Fucsovics | 30c | 1,777$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.1 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Fucsovics | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Fucsovics | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fucsovics | 20c | 1,158$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Fritz | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Fucsovics | 29c | 783.76$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Fucsovics | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Fritz | 73c | 642.03$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.76 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fritz | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Fritz | 71c | 443.33$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Fucsovics | 26c | 252.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 72c | 251.06$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Fritz | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Fucsovics | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Fritz | 73c | 116.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fritz | 71c | 70.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Fucsovics | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fritz | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fritz | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8145…3155backed Fritz | 74c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.