Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs Damm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe25d90bfbd042cde15ce202da267010aeff44576d3f515fa004194257081b3be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dammof Popyrin, Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Damm | 50c | 583.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Popyrin | 62c | 472.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Damm | 38c | 299.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Damm | 40c | 243.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.21 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Popyrin | 60c | 227.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Popyrin | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Popyrin | 63c | 154.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Popyrin | 50c | 127.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Popyrin | 62c | 100.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Popyrin | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damm | 39c | 76.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Damm | 50c | 53.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Popyrin | 54c | 49.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Popyrin | 61c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Damm | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Popyrin | 62c | 39.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Damm | 42c | 39.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Damm | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Popyrin | 62c | 26.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs Dammthis page
- Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin DammMartin Damm won
- Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)Damm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.