MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29340cfb1f8e1e010dc6c89498dcf6d584df0fb966fd7e5a8c50a1cc87888d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,524 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 3,681$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,677$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.6 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 846.52$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 803.45$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 419.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 354$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 324.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 211.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 199.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 173.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 172.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 147.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 141.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 136.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 109.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 61.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 55.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 55.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…f978backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…fdd9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 30.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.