Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29dbe8db6a3f21a88fd408b92990c23bca2af7a609ac9c26c457a834f478592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 51c | 404.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 62c | 220.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 46c | 218.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Under | 73c | 211.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 50c | 200.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 53c | 193.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 35c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 59c | 66.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 79c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 58.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Over | 28c | 54.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 52.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 48c | 52.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 34c | 40.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 49c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 66c | 36.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Under | 79c | 13.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.