Champions League · resolved market
Will Stuttgart beat Atalanta?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a01adba82c22860a4258d8bb1509f4d863e78e4a64b0fbda8890b9748d6678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 61c | 1,474$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.02 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…5656backed Yes | 39c | 780.85$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…0643backed No | 65c | 309.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…1464backed Yes | 39c | 257.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…480abacked Yes | 38c | 223.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 35c | 180.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 36c | 149.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 37c | 133.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 61c | 125.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 39c | 125.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…c7fbbacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…f982backed Yes | 39c | 96.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…6140backed Yes | 39c | 67.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stuttgart beat Atalanta?this page
- Will Atalanta beat Stuttgart?Yes won
- Will the match between VfB Stuttgart and Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.