Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d2cc2550db32b65bbe859dbc50e35f133943d53fa41ec629e9d5369428228d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 73c | 7,157$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 4,791$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.8 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…4a8bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +268.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,012$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 27c | 449.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 399.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 339.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 77c | 318$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 76c | 318$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 182.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 144$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 27c | 116.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 115.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 101.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 65.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 62.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 56.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 77c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.