Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7499177ec42208844c4941b77dd3f44c3bd20d0a0ea8b8cf6844c3b88f750b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 5,017$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 2,561$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.49 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 2,221$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.42 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 1,922$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.39 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 1,510$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 38c | 1,089$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.06 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 679.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.62 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 39c | 665$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 51c | 651.08$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 39c | 618.77$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 61c | 605$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 578.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 539.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 8c | 495$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 5c | 486.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 12c | 414.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked No | 13c | 332.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 38c | 324.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 20c | 288.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 263.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 50c | 240.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 235.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 230.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 39c | 217.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 61c | 208.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 196.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 32c | 183.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 38c | 167.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 15c | 162.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 13c | 144.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 39c | 135.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 38c | 119.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 107.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 86.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 22c | 62.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 54c | 57.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 50.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Yes | 68c | 49.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 62c | 44.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 39c | 33.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 40c | 31.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 38c | 31.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 38c | 31.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 39c | 25.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Yes | 76c | 21.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…d4b3backed Yes | 61c | 21.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 20.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.