Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a5ae4ba8057b5bbd351e740fbad2ae8f6dd6c4d9508c5f6bf237b522969e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 54c | 5,028$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.43 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes | 35c | 2,883$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 1,102$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.43 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 999.95$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 969.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 488.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 287.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…4f52backed No | 31c | 186.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 159.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 143.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 31c | 136.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 130.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 29c | 125.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 111.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 65.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 23c | 53.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 50.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 48.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 41.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 26.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 53c | 21.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 20.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.