Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f6c1dbec7102464d38600a89489e8c232b8bd60424152af6857bdc2378e8d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,844$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 999.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 775.32$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 51c | 727$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Yes | 21c | 633$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 79c | 625.02$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 591.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 525$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 460.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 46c | 317.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 50c | 306.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 22c | 299.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 292.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 6c | 232.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 187.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 80c | 151.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 125.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 121.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 24c | 107.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 105.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 81.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 52c | 77.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…92d8backed No | 80c | 74.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 51c | 50.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 22c | 45.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 43.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 34.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 30.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 52c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 79c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.