Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Gaston vs Monfils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b7125ba23493d9f238fb00b49238f52b7839c04abfebd1ee90d067640fa4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gastonof Gaston, Monfils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Monfils | 49c | 615.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monfils | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Monfils | 48c | 441.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gaston | 45c | 389.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Monfils | 55c | 336$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Monfils | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gaston | 47c | 170.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Gaston | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Gaston | 46c | 113.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gaston | 44c | 111.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Gaston | 59c | 103.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gaston | 49c | 49.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Monfils | 55c | 44.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Monfils | 51c | 36.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gaston | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Monfils | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Gaston | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Gaston | 74c | 28.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Monfils | 53c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Gaston | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gaston | 43c | 23.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Gaston vs Monfilsthis page
- Gaston vs. Monfils: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Gaston vs. Monfils: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Hugo Gaston vs. Gael Monfils: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Hugo Gaston vs. Gael Monfils: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael MonfilsHugo Gaston won
- Set Handicap: Gaston (-1.5) vs Monfils (+1.5)Monfils won
- Set Handicap: Gaston (-2.5) vs Monfils (+2.5)Monfils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.