Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Rikke De Koning vs Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ceece74273bdb8dd3d833dbeece16effc439c0e7198c2ec10d186eeab26078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rikke De Koningof Rikke De Koning, Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 32c | 1,174$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rikke De Koning | 72c | 1,136$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 22c | 583.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rikke De Koning | 63c | 427.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rikke De Koning | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 52c | 322.32$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 37c | 253.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Rikke De Koning | 72c | 195.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 53c | 190.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 33c | 185$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rikke De Koning | 71c | 180.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rikke De Koning | 70c | 170.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rikke De Koning | 67c | 159.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 32c | 140.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Rikke De Koning | 65c | 130.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 35c | 117.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Rikke De Koning | 53c | 112$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Rikke De Koning | 61c | 104.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 45c | 86.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Rikke De Koning | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Rikke De Koning | 67c | 64.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Rikke De Koning | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Rikke De Koning | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Rikke De Koning | 76c | 39.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rikke De Koning | 75c | 30.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Rikke De Koning | 80c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.