Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d79e439f6c38f3db48c95c85789b9853fc35db8cae83876b60b364fb15f5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,152$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.91 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 72c | 2,800$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.86 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 882.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.49 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 29c | 862$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 583.78$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 421.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 28c | 247.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 218.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 30c | 59.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 72c | 44.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…407fbacked Over | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 30.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.