Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Boston Terriers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe469600f5363ab841251470a53ba6ac4038805811a393bcd164f29e36e38b971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Terriersof Boston Terriers, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Terriers | 45c | 5,384$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 4,425$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.66 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Army Black Knights | 55c | 2,901$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.5 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Boston Terriers | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.3 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Army Black Knights | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Boston Terriers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Boston Terriers | 46c | 385.22$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Terriers | 45c | 348.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Boston Terriers | 46c | 230.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Army Black Knights | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Army Black Knights | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Boston Terriers | 50c | 122.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Terriers | 46c | 105.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Terriers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Boston Terriers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Boston Terriers | 50c | 75.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Army Black Knights | 55c | 68.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Boston Terriers | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Army Black Knights | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Boston Terriers | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 35.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 35.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Boston Terriers | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Army Black Knights | 55c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Terriers (-3.5)this page
- Boston Terriers vs. Army Black KnightsBoston Terriers won
- Boston Terriers vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 140.5Over won
- Boston Terriers vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 141.5Over won
- Boston Terriers vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Terriers (-2.5)Boston Terriers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.