Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya Astakhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4810e87c0ab493ed6b952d0776880de010f63149347619e9292fe749767f7d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darya Astakhovaof Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, Darya Astakhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Darya Astakhova | 47c | 6,032$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Darya Astakhova | 58c | 4,365$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.69 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 31c | 4,197$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.47 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 52c | 3,433$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.43 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 59c | 2,019$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.4 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 54c | 2,001$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.8 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 34c | 1,384$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darya Astakhova | 55c | 1,325$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Darya Astakhova | 75c | 1,164$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 58c | 827.73$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.59 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Darya Astakhova | 76c | 606.02$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 57c | 350$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 16c | 346.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Darya Astakhova | 46c | 304.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Darya Astakhova | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Darya Astakhova | 43c | 255.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Darya Astakhova | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 43c | 224.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Darya Astakhova | 78c | 153.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Darya Astakhova | 43c | 125.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 10c | 103.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darya Astakhova | 42c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Darya Astakhova | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Darya Astakhova | 48c | 68.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 55c | 51.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Darya Astakhova | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Darya Astakhova | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 52c | 42.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Darya Astakhova | 42c | 40.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Darya Astakhova | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4f75backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 59c | 27.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rome: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya Astakhovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Persson vs AstakhovaAstakhova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.