Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e4b2dd3f40874d050fbb28b39411e30215db45f3cd3a9b09ba28ef8d903cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof OXEN, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed OXEN | 63c | 716.75$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked KRÜ Spark | 66c | 664.15$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…1ff8backed OXEN | 52c | 327.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed OXEN | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked OXEN | 55c | 238.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked KRÜ Spark | 68c | 230.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked KRÜ Spark | 50c | 201.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed OXEN | 31c | 185.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…491ebacked OXEN | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed KRÜ Spark | 29c | 175.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed KRÜ Spark | 48c | 170.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked KRÜ Spark | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…298dbacked KRÜ Spark | 70c | 133.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KRÜ Spark | 66c | 131.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Spark | 62c | 113.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KRÜ Spark | 54c | 106.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OXEN | 55c | 100.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked OXEN | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked OXEN | 38c | 79.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed OXEN | 34c | 73.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed KRÜ Spark | 52c | 66.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…b0a3backed KRÜ Spark | 70c | 59.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KRÜ Spark | 38c | 58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed OXEN | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked OXEN | 31c | 48.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 41c | 47.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KRÜ Spark | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed OXEN | 67c | 31.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…1697backed KRÜ Spark | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed KRÜ Spark | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked OXEN | 42c | 24.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed OXEN | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.