TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Janice Tjen vs Rebecca Sramkova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Janice Tjenof Janice Tjen, Rebecca Sramkova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc293…fac3backed Janice Tjen80c6,593$5,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.228056.3%45 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Rebecca Sramkova28c5,178$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Rebecca Sramkova3c4,521$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.461,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Rebecca Sramkova28c3,619$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.744,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rebecca Sramkova15c3,211$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.148,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Rebecca Sramkova12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Rebecca Sramkova40c1,750$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Janice Tjen78c1,204$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.724,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rebecca Sramkova2c1,005$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.358,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Janice Tjen62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1646453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Rebecca Sramkova19c543$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9494447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Rebecca Sramkova36c492.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.543,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb638…20b0backed Rebecca Sramkova24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rebecca Sramkova5c353.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Rebecca Sramkova33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Rebecca Sramkova38c251.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7590335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Janice Tjen80c240.3$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Rebecca Sramkova40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Janice Tjen60c186.67$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6721856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Janice Tjen80c184.11$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8218968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Janice Tjen72c152.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Rebecca Sramkova38c149.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Rebecca Sramkova19c147.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Janice Tjen64c143.13$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8352739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Janice Tjen79c118.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9417757.6%102 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Janice Tjen62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.939469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x588b…ed16backed Janice Tjen69c108.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.565657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Janice Tjen64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.527437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Janice Tjen67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3340527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Janice Tjen66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412656.3%71 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae75…9fd7backed Janice Tjen71c99.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.896248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4057…afb7backed Janice Tjen76c98.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Janice Tjen72c94.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2133062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Rebecca Sramkova19c92.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5772147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Rebecca Sramkova33c83.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Janice Tjen80c62.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Rebecca Sramkova37c54.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Janice Tjen71c53.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.571,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabaf…8651backed Janice Tjen76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Janice Tjen77c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7330746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x892b…a096backed Janice Tjen69c48.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Rebecca Sramkova40c42.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Janice Tjen62c40.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.582,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Janice Tjen67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.289134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Rebecca Sramkova34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Rebecca Sramkova43c34.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9234857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed Janice Tjen58c34.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.479038.9%35 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…a9b9backed Janice Tjen67c34.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rebecca Sramkova37c32.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…0d78backed Janice Tjen71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.710958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Janice Tjen60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f8…df25backed Janice Tjen65c23.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2311659.5%69 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Janice Tjen61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Janice Tjen71c16.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7460452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Janice Tjen68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86858.8%40 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.