Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Uganda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe501f0ca9ca582442cd47b4b9d9b1965f2f1ad986495a2e11de182d1a7a1b83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugandaof Tanzania, Uganda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tanzania | 6c | 2,767$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Tanzania | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Tanzania | 3c | 1,297$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…a13ebacked Tanzania | 9c | 1,210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Tanzania | 11c | 1,147$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Uganda | 67c | 788.32$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Tanzania | 5c | 785.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Tanzania | 11c | 761.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Tanzania | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tanzania | 32c | 447.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Tanzania | 6c | 411.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 113 | 6.2%7 W · 106 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Tanzania | 5c | 283.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…1588backed Tanzania | 26c | 259.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9da2backed Tanzania | 23c | 229.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tanzania | 31c | 172.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Tanzania | 23c | 132.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tanzania | 21c | 65.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Uganda | 67c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Uganda | 79c | 63.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Uganda | 70c | 60.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uganda | 76c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Uganda | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Uganda | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Uganda | 73c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.