Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Teah Chavez vs Miho Kuramochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe56831f713bd072af7f3b2e1226f922991fa8684a8f1161dd0421d16f10534fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teah Chavezof Teah Chavez, Miho Kuramochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Teah Chavez | 51c | 3,041$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Miho Kuramochi | 45c | 1,463$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.18 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miho Kuramochi | 52c | 1,402$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.85 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Teah Chavez | 30c | 1,101$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.7 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Miho Kuramochi | 22c | 336.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Miho Kuramochi | 55c | 230.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Miho Kuramochi | 54c | 211.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Miho Kuramochi | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Miho Kuramochi | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Miho Kuramochi | 79c | 102.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Teah Chavez | 21c | 82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Teah Chavez | 56c | 74.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Teah Chavez | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Miho Kuramochi | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Teah Chavez | 19c | 56.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Miho Kuramochi | 56c | 52.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Miho Kuramochi | 49c | 51.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Miho Kuramochi | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Miho Kuramochi | 54c | 44.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Teah Chavez | 53c | 42.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Teah Chavez | 54c | 42.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Miho Kuramochi | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Miho Kuramochi | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Miho Kuramochi | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Miho Kuramochi | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Miho Kuramochi | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Miho Kuramochi | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Teah Chavez | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miho Kuramochi | 54c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Miho Kuramochi | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Teah Chavez | 50c | 24.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Miho Kuramochi | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Miho Kuramochi | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Miho Kuramochi | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Miho Kuramochi | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Teah Chavez | 55c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.