Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe569c7b88406ea1f8c0900ca38454dd3ed3819892265022f8b6ae529ed481bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Svitolina, Eala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Svitolina | 48c | 1,816$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Svitolina | 43c | 1,016$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.62 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…b619backed Eala | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svitolina | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Eala | 52c | 505$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Svitolina | 49c | 405.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Eala | 52c | 316.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eala | 60c | 251.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Eala | 56c | 197.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Svitolina | 44c | 179.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Svitolina | 49c | 166.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Svitolina | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Svitolina | 17c | 155.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Eala | 52c | 141.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eala | 50c | 132.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Svitolina | 47c | 106.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Svitolina | 49c | 102.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Eala | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Eala | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Eala | 52c | 85.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Svitolina | 49c | 72.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eala | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Eala | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Eala | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Eala | 54c | 53.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eala | 54c | 52.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Eala | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Eala | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eala | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Eala | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Eala | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Svitolina | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Svitolina | 45c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Eala | 54c | 26.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eala | 49c | 25.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…c744backed Svitolina | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Eala | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Eala | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Eala | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)this page
- Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra EalaAlexandra Eala won
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs EalaEala won
- Set 2 Winner: Svitolina vs EalaEala won
- Svitolina vs. Eala: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.