Tennis · resolved market
ITF Fano: Vito Antonio Darderi vs Stefano D'agostino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c5e4269f3f5ec133a1633d659f3b5c04b7c6fc9150424026cc3cfa9704c46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano D'agostinoof Vito Antonio Darderi, Stefano D'agostino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 10c | 23,398$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.61 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 4c | 7,099$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 8c | 6,875$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 4c | 4,738$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 4c | 3,068$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 9c | 710.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 8c | 683.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Stefano D'agostino | 76c | 305.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 4c | 267.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 5c | 208.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 9c | 204$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 8c | 175.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Stefano D'agostino | 70c | 117.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 15c | 101.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 23c | 99.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 13c | 92.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 15c | 86.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Stefano D'agostino | 79c | 69.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Stefano D'agostino | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Stefano D'agostino | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Stefano D'agostino | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 25c | 57.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Stefano D'agostino | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Stefano D'agostino | 77c | 25.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.