CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60f64f5c5592bb2fd2cacf89918b73125406d82eb4a5e989344fa5cbc857976
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked ARCRED | 47c | 2,481$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.72 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 1,953$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ARCRED | 30c | 1,024$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 492.11$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 263.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ARCRED | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ARCRED | 55c | 180.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ARCRED | 55c | 117.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed ARCRED | 52c | 90.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ARCRED | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ARCRED | 38c | 67.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed ARCRED | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 48.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed ARCRED | 43c | 37.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsARCRED won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs ARCRED (+1.5)ARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.