TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ARCREDof ARCRED, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED50c16,374$8,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,187.0477052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked ARCRED51c7,426$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.8316245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c6,120$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.514051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports56c4,597$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.733,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c2,700$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.214,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c2,058$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02920842.8%89 W · 119 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0104055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c1,730$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86521744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed ARCRED50c1,500$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74720249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed CYBERSHOKE Esports52c1,333$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.168946.1%41 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed ARCRED48c1,216$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.369642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c1,200$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59594945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b98…e230backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c1,136$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5681546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports38c1,070$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.420358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c942.86$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46219245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3573…4b4dbacked ARCRED15c800$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c785.16$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.58544.7%38 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c750.25$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.356,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c578.79$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.45,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED51c507.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.915,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed CYBERSHOKE Esports53c500$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.464058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c475.22$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6123732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c474.75$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.637038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c469.45$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.182,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb18…2571backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c469.39$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed CYBERSHOKE Esports24c450$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.341716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ARCRED63c441.28$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.467,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked ARCRED50c401.96$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.986040%24 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c400.9$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4412846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17910541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c332$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16636239.2%142 W · 220 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3217…32d3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports29c298.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.521010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed ARCRED68c275.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c269.63$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.615,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…dbf7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports75c266.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c262.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13042757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c249.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0227156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c243.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5421745.2%98 W · 119 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed ARCRED44c225.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.347447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports79c211.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7923245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f9…6000backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c211.7$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c209.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9727549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c205.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.612252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c205.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.610151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed CYBERSHOKE Esports38c198.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5420556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed ARCRED56c187.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.831,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927946.8%37 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c182.66$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.114,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.218754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c173.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.492,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.231931.7%101 W · 218 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed ARCRED46c169.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.468645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…9ddcbacked ARCRED58c160$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.810647.2%50 W · 56 L-13.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked ARCRED48c137.25$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3710942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED61c133.94$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.684,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed ARCRED50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c125.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.71,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports65c99.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9917246.5%80 W · 92 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b2e…c9d4backed ARCRED35c79.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…5415backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c78.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports30c67.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports49c63.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.918747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ARCRED28c55.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4044675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ARCRED43c51.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.556049.8%279 W · 281 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.559445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c47.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4786154.1%466 W · 395 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed CYBERSHOKE Esports55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1347047.9%225 W · 245 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c34.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3674653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8dc…d8a2backed ARCRED43c33.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports74c33.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports46c30.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9323129%67 W · 164 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked ARCRED54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.928644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked ARCRED51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4919455.2%107 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9e…14fcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c27.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4722954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports61c23.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b4…17b1backed ARCRED50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109037.8%34 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked ARCRED52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.713155%72 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed CYBERSHOKE Esports72c17.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.833161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.