Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62d2bcfa8779cb1d92554e89ac5863a922280347ab4cd2af47cf76e3dcceaee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Timofeevaof Maria Timofeeva, Suzan Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suzan Lamens | 17c | 9,662$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Maria Timofeeva | 61c | 3,477$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.02 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Maria Timofeeva | 80c | 2,893$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.09 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 2,600$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.31 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 1,611$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.86 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Timofeeva | 76c | 1,585$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 1,004$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Suzan Lamens | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Suzan Lamens | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Maria Timofeeva | 76c | 997.77$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.46 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Suzan Lamens | 23c | 906.74$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 732$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 672.48$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 625.77$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Suzan Lamens | 50c | 538$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Maria Timofeeva | 79c | 472.12$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Timofeeva | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Suzan Lamens | 62c | 395$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Suzan Lamens | 24c | 372$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Suzan Lamens | 30c | 335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Suzan Lamens | 30c | 329.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maria Timofeeva | 50c | 327.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 327.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suzan Lamens | 50c | 305.48$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Suzan Lamens | 24c | 224.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 204.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Maria Timofeeva | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suzan Lamens | 49c | 199.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 184$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Suzan Lamens | 22c | 153.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Suzan Lamens | 22c | 135.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Suzan Lamens | 38c | 128.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 114.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Maria Timofeeva | 78c | 107.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Suzan Lamens | 37c | 101.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Suzan Lamens | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Suzan Lamens | 21c | 100.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Suzan Lamens | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Suzan Lamens | 19c | 97.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Suzan Lamens | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Suzan Lamens | 19c | 85.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Suzan Lamens | 49c | 83.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Suzan Lamens | 23c | 59.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Maria Timofeeva | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Maria Timofeeva | 75c | 49.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Suzan Lamens | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…717abacked Suzan Lamens | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Maria Timofeeva | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Maria Timofeeva | 51c | 32.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Suzan Lamens | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Suzan Lamens | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Suzan Lamens | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.