Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Parry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe631c6adf7127b6596f7b8d9ba3cc24e19ad2466dd56003a72925cafc6e06f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chwalinskaof Chwalinska, Parry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chwalinska | 59c | 755.34$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chwalinska | 60c | 615.47$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.74 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Parry | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Parry | 35c | 384.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Parry | 40c | 363.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chwalinska | 63c | 320.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Parry | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Parry | 39c | 229.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631f…1946backed Parry | 46c | 172.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Parry | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Chwalinska | 65c | 128.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Chwalinska | 61c | 117.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Parry | 43c | 112.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ea…9524backed Parry | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Chwalinska | 73c | 67.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Chwalinska | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Parry | 49c | 64.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chwalinska | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Parry | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Chwalinska | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Parry | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Chwalinska | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chwalinska | 57c | 28.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Chwalinska | 61c | 26.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chwalinska | 56c | 26.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Chwalinska | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Chwalinska | 72c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chwalinska | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Chwalinska | 72c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Parrythis page
- Chwalinska vs. Parry: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Chwalinska vs. Parry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Chwalinska vs. Parry: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Maja Chwalinska vs. Diane Parry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane ParryMaja Chwalinska won
- Set Handicap: Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Parry (+1.5)Chwalinska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.