Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6474ebbc8383d4f7a31ba432a5ff16fbee22ca51370813ac281b81f9be49a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 10,128$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.44 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 2,298$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 1,586$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 1,476$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 12c | 968.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 6c | 952.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 13c | 881.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 7c | 660.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 9c | 645.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 7c | 566.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…ea27backed Yes | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…35dcbacked Yes | 13c | 310.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 14c | 289.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…5898backed Yes | 13c | 284.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 12c | 277.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 271.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 11c | 227.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 14c | 197.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 13c | 181.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 176.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 13c | 164.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 107.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 13c | 87.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 21c | 85.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 13c | 83.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 13c | 79.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.