Lol · resolved market
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64b92f34b18faeae476ec7cf288c5e07c679f0bf34c014d13e2eb5872de1a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MVK Esportsof MVK Esports, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked MVK Esports | 63c | 1,701$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.3 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 11c | 1,402$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…2dd4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +16.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 6c | 771.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 25c | 743.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…55dfbacked MVK Esports | 72c | 666.83$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 433 | 58.2%252 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 37c | 650.39$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 5c | 579$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked MVK Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 22c | 420.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked MVK Esports | 72c | 336.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 46c | 332.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed MVK Esports | 68c | 254.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…c4b2backed MVK Esports | 76c | 221.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 50c | 200.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 31c | 164.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 23c | 154.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 28c | 129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 58c | 111.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 108.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed MVK Esports | 45c | 87.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…3025backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 124 | 71%88 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed MVK Esports | 69c | 72.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 51c | 60.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 278 | 43.9%122 W · 156 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…53d5backed MVK Esports | 44c | 59.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 56c | 59.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed MVK Esports | 73c | 53.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 61c | 41.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed MVK Esports | 39c | 31.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 40c | 30.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked MVK Esports | 72c | 29.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed MVK Esports | 55c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…3895backed MVK Esports | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)MVK Esports won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonMVK Esports won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.