Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Mario Mansilla Diez vs Jose Dominguez Alonso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66dee8ebd24e380c91e25a745c8e9ba90fc461729e4fcebea4be7c5636c9a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jose Dominguez Alonsoof Mario Mansilla Diez, Jose Dominguez Alonso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 28c | 1,036$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 20c | 846$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 71c | 596.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 452 | 51.5%233 W · 219 L | -21.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 22c | 292.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 31c | 222.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 78c | 174.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 69c | 149.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 40c | 149.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 787 | 57.1%449 W · 338 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 32c | 142.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 32c | 142.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 380 | 51.6%196 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 22c | 124.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 32c | 114.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 80c | 113.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 35c | 97.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 20c | 96.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 20c | 96.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536f…7ebabacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 32c | 71.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mario Mansilla Diez | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…5210backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Mario Mansilla Diez | 29c | 40.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 361 | 46.3%167 W · 194 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 74c | 32.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 70c | 21.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.